"New York City Enters 1970s-Style 'Doom Loop' as Urban Prophet Predicted"

1 min read
Source: Fortune
"New York City Enters 1970s-Style 'Doom Loop' as Urban Prophet Predicted"
Photo: Fortune
TL;DR Summary

Columbia Business School professor Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, known as the "prophet of urban doom," predicts a 1970s-style "doom loop" for New York City due to the impact of remote work on real estate and public finance. With nearly 20% of office spaces sitting empty, the city's tax base is shrinking, potentially leading to a self-perpetuating cycle of declining property values, reduced tax revenue, and struggling banks. This could affect everything from housing values to public services budgets and the crime rate, creating a severe urban crisis over the next three to five years.

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