Midterm Summers Hint at Weak Seasonality for Stocks, Yet This Year Feels Different
TL;DR
Historically, summer in midterm years has been a weak stretch for equities (the S&P 500 has averaged a roughly 2.8% loss from end-April to end-September). This year started May with gains, but analysts warn volatility remains elevated (VIX around 16.7%), and the political backdrop—likely a divided Congress—could limit policy shocks. The market may move sideways to choppily, with outcomes still influenced by inflation and Federal Reserve policy.
Topics:businessmarkets#divided-government#markets#midterm-elections#sandp-500#stock-market-seasonality#vix
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