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Sandp 500

All articles tagged with #sandp 500

VIX dip sparks bet of a 7,400 S&P as Fundstrat flags three bullish signals
markets1 day ago

VIX dip sparks bet of a 7,400 S&P as Fundstrat flags three bullish signals

Market-watch notes Fundstrat’s Tom Lee says three signs point to a stock bottom being in: a sharp VIX drop below 20, continued rally on less-bad news, and an improving sentiment despite geopolitical risk. He cites historical cases where VIX >30 preceded a >15% oil drop and a sub-20 VIX, which produced median six‑month gains around 9%, suggesting the S&P 500 could reach about 7,400 in coming months as the uptrend persists.

via MarketWatch|
#fundstrat#markets#sandp-500
S&P 500 Faces Seasonality Headwinds Into Q2 After March Slide
markets11 days ago

S&P 500 Faces Seasonality Headwinds Into Q2 After March Slide

March’s 7.6% drop makes this the worst month for the S&P 500 since 2022, with seasonality implying more downside into Q2. Historically, the S&P 500 falls about 2.8% in the second quarter of a midterm-year cycle, and midterm-year drawdowns average around 16% (median ~15.6%). Yet after such drawdowns, the subsequent year has averaged a 36.4% gain (median ~39.8%), underscoring that selloffs are common but long-run gains often follow. Since 1980, the market has averaged about a 14.1% annual drawdown.}

via TipRanks|
#march-decline#markets#midterm-year-drawdown
Geopolitics Pressure Keeps US Stocks Slumping With More Downside Possible
markets11 days ago

Geopolitics Pressure Keeps US Stocks Slumping With More Downside Possible

US equities have fallen about 7.4% since the Iran conflict began, exceeding the 6.1% median drawdown seen after prior geopolitical shocks, according to Deutsche Bank analysis cited by MarketWatch. With the VIX above 30 signaling elevated fear and both discretionary and systematic investors trimming exposure, the market could face more downside if volatility remains elevated.

via MarketWatch|
#geopolitics#iran-conflict#market-outlook
S&P 500 teeters at key threshold as 6,600 line could spur 10% drop
markets23 days ago

S&P 500 teeters at key threshold as 6,600 line could spur 10% drop

U.S. stocks hovered near the S&P 500’s 200‑day moving average (about 6,615) with Wednesday’s close around 6,625, as the 6,600 level has been tested multiple times. BTIG’s Jonathan Krinsky warned a break could push the index toward 6,000 and potentially trigger a 10% drop, while the Dow and Nasdaq also slipped below or near their moving averages; oil climbed on regional tensions and Micron’s after‑hours weakness underscored continuing tech‑sector risk.

via MarketWatch|
#200-day-moving-average#6600-level#btig-krinsky
Oil’s Black-Swan Price Spike Triggers Equity Risk Alert
markets23 days ago

Oil’s Black-Swan Price Spike Triggers Equity Risk Alert

RBC Capital Markets researchers say oil is showing black-swan–like price dynamics unseen in other assets, which have moved in normal white-swan patterns. Oil’s price move is a seven-deviation event versus roughly 1–1.5 standard deviations for other assets. If energy-market volatility remains elevated, U.S. stocks could fall 5%–20%, with the risk of about a 20% drop possible; betting markets put roughly a 25% chance that Hormuz traffic normalizes by end-April. The takeaway is oil is driving the risk picture while stocks and other assets remain comparatively calm unless volatility worsens.

via MarketWatch|
#markets#oil#rbc-capital-markets
Goldman Sachs Says S&P 500 Could Reach 7,600 by 2026 on Earnings Growth
business26 days ago

Goldman Sachs Says S&P 500 Could Reach 7,600 by 2026 on Earnings Growth

Goldman Sachs projects the S&P 500 could reach 7,600 by end-2026 as corporate earnings grow and the economy expands, with the information technology sector leading the gains and financials, health care, and communication services providing support; the index trades around 21x forward earnings, near its long-run average, implying roughly a 14% upside from current levels.

via Seeking Alpha|
#business#earnings-growth#goldman-sachs
Iran conflict lifts 15 S&P 500 stocks into double-digit gains
markets29 days ago

Iran conflict lifts 15 S&P 500 stocks into double-digit gains

Despite a broad market dip, 15 S&P 500 components have surged with double-digit gains since Feb. 27 as the Iran attack drags on, led by chemicals and energy names (e.g., CF Industries, LyondellBasell, Dow, Marathon Petroleum) and extending to software and crypto-oriented stocks. The materials sector has been the index’s strongest in this window, highlighting a selective rally amid geopolitical tensions.

via MarketWatch|
#chemicals#energy#iran
business1 month ago

Stocks Edge Lower as Iran Conflict Uncertainty Dampens Markets

U.S. stocks finished modestly lower as investors weighed ongoing uncertainty over when the Iran conflict will end, with the S&P 500 down 0.2% to 6,782.43, the Dow off 0.1% to 47,706.51, and the Nasdaq essentially flat at 22,697.10; oil prices eased after a rally earlier in the session, reflecting tempered inflation fears, while Trump signaled the war could end soon even as fighting continued, and Oracle drew attention for its AI/cloud-related capital expenditures ahead of earnings.

via Investing.com|
#business#iran-conflict#oil-prices
Rare correction cue triggers third signal in seven years, signaling weeks of volatility
markets1 month ago

Rare correction cue triggers third signal in seven years, signaling weeks of volatility

Variant Perception’s tactical correction signal for the S&P 500 has activated for the third time in seven years, signaling weeks of volatility and a test of the 200-day moving average (about 6,579) despite a resilient macro backdrop; past signals appeared in 2010, 2019 and 2021, and investors should brace for uncertainty with potential stabilizing events such as a Trump-Xi meeting.

via MarketWatch|
#market-outlook#markets#sandp-500