A24’s Elizabeth Holmes Documentary Threatens to Top DC’s ‘Clayface’
A24’s documentary 'You Can See Everything' is poised to challenge DC’s 'Clayface' for the No. 1 spot this weekend, with projections ranging from $15M to $25M for the former and $22M to $35M for the latter.
Key points
- 'You Can See Everything' expanded to 2,600 theaters, with some outlets projecting a $20M-$25M second weekend, potentially surpassing 'Clayface'.
- 'Clayface' faces a softer debut than initially expected, with rival estimates suggesting $22M-$28M, down from earlier $25M-$35M forecasts.
- The documentary’s strong midweek performance and Gen-Z appeal have driven its surge, while 'Clayface' relies on horror fans and a lower $40M budget.
- Other releases, including 'Wildwood' and 'Street Fighter', are expected to earn single-digit debuts, reducing competition for the top spot.
Background
A24’s 'You Can See Everything' opened to $15.6M from 855 theaters, marking the biggest debut for a nonmusical documentary in 20 years. It has since grossed $20.8M domestically, with strong midweek sales and a 99% Rotten Tomatoes score. The film sparked debate among Theranos whistleblowers and drove a 186% spike in viewership for the Hulu series 'The Dropout.'
How outlets are covering it
Variety and Comic Basics project 'You Can See Everything' could earn $20M-$25M, potentially topping 'Clayface.' Deadline and Boxoffice Pro are more cautious, forecasting $15M-$20M for the documentary and $25M-$30M for 'Clayface.' All outlets agree the outcome is uncertain, with 'Clayface'’s R-rated horror appeal and 'You Can See Everything’’s Gen-Z momentum creating a tight race.
Why it matters
The outcome will signal whether audiences prioritize genre-driven blockbusters or unconventional documentaries, impacting future DC and A24 strategies. 'Clayface'’s performance also affects DC’s momentum after 'Supergirl'’s underperformance, while 'You Can See Everything’’s success could redefine documentary box office potential.
What to watch
Final weekend box office numbers will determine the No. 1 spot. 'Clayface' aims for $45M-$55M globally, while 'You Can See Everything' may see further expansion. 'Wildwood' and 'Street Fighter' will also report their second-weekend performances.
- Will ‘You Can See Everything’ Beat DC’s ‘Clayface’ at the Box Office? Variety
- 'You Can See Everything' Wins Wednesday Box Office; Can It Beat 'Clayface'? Deadline
- Weekend Preview: CLAYFACE Faces Off Against YOU CAN SEE EVERYTHING Expansion Boxoffice Pro
- A Three-Hour Elizabeth Holmes Documentary Could Dethrone 'Clayface' at the Box Office: The Weekend Nobody Saw Coming Comic Basics
- A Three-Hour Elizabeth Holmes Documentary Could Dethrone ‘Clayface’ at the Box Office: The Weekend Nobody Saw Coming IMDb
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