"2024 Election: Analyzing the Trump and Biden Coalitions for a Potential Rematch"

AP VoteCast surveys in Iowa and New Hampshire reveal that while Donald Trump has strong support among the Republican base, he struggles to gain traction with college graduates and suburbanites, while Joe Biden enjoys a broad and diverse Democratic coalition but faces potential divisions over issues like the Middle East conflict and immigration. The surveys also show that Trump continues to repel many college graduates and self-identified political moderates, while Biden struggles with younger voters and faces divisions on policy issues. As the 2024 election approaches, both candidates must navigate these challenges to build winning coalitions.