Paxton Narrowly Edges Cornyn in UH Poll Ahead of Texas GOP Runoff

Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn by 3 percentage points (48% to 45%) in a University of Houston Hobby School poll of likely Texas GOP runoff voters, with a margin of error ±2.83 points from a 1,200-person sample. The race remains tight as supporters of Wesley Hunt tilt toward Paxton, and undecided voters could sway the May 26 runoff. Polls showing Paxton and Cornyn locked to their bases underscore turnout’s pivotal role, while other May runoff races (attorney general and railroad commissioner) also factor into the broader Texas GOP landscape.