Populist clash defines Texas campaign as Paxton vs. Talarico for the Senate

TL;DR Summary
The Texas Senate race pairs Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico, with Paxton emphasizing cultural populism (immigration, crime, transgender issues) and Talarico pushing economic populism (cost of living, inflation). Despite favorable headwinds for Republicans, analysts expect Paxton to stay favored in a red-leaning state, but demographic shifts and rising cost concerns in urban areas could keep the contest competitive if turnout patterns in the Texas Triangle and South Texas tilt toward Democrats.
- A populist will win the Texas Senate race. The question is, which one? CNN
- The New York Times News Quiz, May 29, 2026 The New York Times
- Talarico leads Paxton in first Texas Senate poll after GOP runoff USA Today
- Cook Political Report shifts Texas Senate race toward Democrats after Paxton runoff victory The Hill
- ‘They’re gonna throw everything they have at us’: Talarico bats down first Paxton attacks at San Antonio’s Paper Tiger San Antonio Report
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