"Trump's Absence Spells Turnout Disaster for GOP"

Republican strategists are concerned that if former President Trump is not the GOP's presidential nominee in 2024, or if he is unable to be on the ballot due to legal issues, it could lead to a voter turnout disaster for the party. Trump's core supporters, estimated to make up a significant portion of the party base, may choose not to vote if he is not the nominee. The GOP's success in the 2022 midterm election was attributed to higher turnout among Trump voters. If Trump is prevented from being on the ballot, it could hurt Republican chances in key states like Ohio. Trump's legal problems and refusal to sign a loyalty pledge to the Republican National Committee are fueling concerns about a divided Republican electorate.