Masters 2026 Sunday: Projection model predicts a dramatic leaderboard and longshots

SportsLine’s projection model simulated the Masters final round 10,000 times and forecasts a dramatic Sunday: Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young share the 11-under lead, with Sam Burns at 10 under and Shane Lowry at 9 under after Day 3. The latest odds have McIlroy at +135, Young +240, Burns +700, and Scheffler +1000. The model flags surprises—Justin Rose fading from the top five and Patrick Reed climbing into contention—plus a big longshot surge. For the full picks and leaderboard projections, join SportsLine.