NFL Win Totals 2026: Which Projections Are Off, and Which Are On Target?

TL;DR Summary
The Athletic’s NFL staff evaluates Austin Mock’s 2026 regular-season win projections for all 32 teams, labeling each as too high, too low, or just right and explaining the rationale—ranging from injuries and new coaching to schedule difficulty and roster moves. Examples include Seahawks (10.8) and Patriots (10.3) deemed just right, Panthers (6.7) and Dolphins (4.5) too low, Falcons (7.1) too high, and Chargers (9.4) and Steelers (8.4) flagged as potential misses amid roster changes and health concerns.
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