Longshots, favorites collide in expert Kentucky Derby picks for 2026

TL;DR Summary
The 2026 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs is set for May 2. Renegade is the 4-1 favorite, with notable rivals including Commandment (6-1), Further Ado (6-1), and The Puma (10-1). Bob Baffert trains Potente and Litmus Test. Racing analyst Michelle Yu’s SportsLine picks skew toward longshots (notably The Puma) and away from Commandment, citing distance concerns and jockey Luis Saez’s Derby record. Her full predictions are available on SportsLine.
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- Kentucky Derby favorite Renegade placed inside with No. 1 post ESPN
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