Unveiling the True Scale of Russia's Army Revolt

The recent attempted coup in Russia and its aftermath have left many unknowns and uncertainties. Vladimir Putin's statement suggests that the country narrowly avoided civil war. Yevgeny Prigozhin, the owner of the Wagner group, has returned to Moscow to discuss the future of the group, relying on Putin's promise of protection. Strange developments in the north of Bakhmut indicate a lack of artillery support from the Russian side, raising questions about the command structure. Speculation suggests that high-ranking Russian military officials, including General Sergey Surovikin and Colonel General Andrey Yudin, may have been arrested. If this crisis extends beyond Surovikin, it could lead to the collapse of Putin's leadership and a potential remake of the Russian state. In Ukraine, setbacks for Russian forces may prompt a push for meaningful victories, potentially leading to NATO offering security guarantees to Ukraine, which would represent a significant change in the basis of the alliance.