
Russia's Strategic Silence: Implications for Ukraine's Winter Offensive
British intelligence suggests that Russia is stockpiling missiles to preserve them for winter attacks on Ukraine. Russian Air Force Long Range Aviation (LRA) aircraft have not conducted a strike against Ukraine for three weeks, despite Ukraine's ongoing counteroffensive. The break in strikes is believed to be a result of Russia preserving its missile stocks and preparing for further heavy strikes over the winter. Recent Russian airstrikes have targeted grain-related facilities in southern Ukraine using SHAHED one-way-attack uncrewed aerial vehicles. Ukraine's state-owned energy giant Naftogaz expects Russia to continue serious missile and drone attacks on its critical infrastructure, but claims to be more prepared than in previous years.