IBM’s AI-Driven Rally Tests Valuation, Eyes Safer Entry Around $260

TL;DR Summary
IBM trades around $329 after a 31% weekly surge; a pullback toward $260 would push the forward P/E into the low-20s and restore a margin of safety, backed by accelerating GenAI revenue (up to $12.5B book), growing software ARR (~$24.6B), and a guided ~$1B higher free cash flow for 2026, though the bear case remains its still-premium valuation (forward P/E ~26, PEG ~3) and potential mainframe/infrastructure headwinds.
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