Ontology moat could power Palantir's upside, says Oppenheimer analyst

An Oppenheimer analyst initiated Palantir (PLTR) coverage with an Outperform rating and a $200 target, arguing Palantir’s Ontology moat, growing U.S. government AI software spending, and an expanding commercial base justify a premium. With government and commercial opportunities expanding (government software spend expected to reach about $666B by 2029 and a $2.1T commercial TAM by 2030), Palantir’s land-and-expand strategy supports bullish momentum, while the market remains mindful of valuation. The stock carries a Moderate Buy consensus and about 31–38% upside to a near-term target.