SMCI Rally Fueled by Margin Recovery and AI Infrastructure Outlook

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) surged after its Q3 FY26 results, with adjusted EPS of $0.84 beating estimates and gross margins rebounding to 10.1% from 6.3%, easing fears of pricing pressure in the AI server market. Revenue came in at $10.2B, below consensus of $12.3B, but management attributed the miss to customer site readiness rather than weak demand, noting a record backlog and strong AI infrastructure demand. The company raised FY26 revenue guidance to $38.9–$40.4B and projected Q4 sales up to $12.5B, underscoring optimism for a late-year uptick. The rally was buoyed by AMD strength and ongoing AI buildout, though investors will watch inventory levels (~$11.1B) and a DOJ export-controls probe.