Doom Without a Formula: Rethinking p(doom) in AI Risk

TL;DR
The piece argues that p(doom)—the claimed probability of AI-triggered extinction—lacks a solid mathematical basis and is often presented as statistics, making it more a feeling or marketing narrative than science, while industry leaders still push advanced AI forward and fuel public anxiety.
- ‘P(doom)’ Is Just Vibes Masquerading as Science Gizmodo
- Destroying Humanity Is Against the Law The Atlantic
- The Long Doomsday of A.I. The New Yorker
- Why the AI Apocalypse Won’t Play Out Like The Terminator New York Magazine
- ‘A deep unease with AI right now’: While voters worry, Congress is spinning its wheels on tech regulation The Boston Globe
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