DOJ Weighs Post-Election Litigation Against Mail-Ballot States Amid Data Reliability Disputes

The U.S. Department of Justice is considering lawsuits against additional states that use all-mail voting systems, potentially extending legal challenges beyond California into the post-election certification period. Attorney General Todd Blanche declined to rule out federal intervention in vote certification, describing it as a potential 'doomsday' scenario. This expansion follows a recent suit against California demanding the segregation of 20,000 ballots flagged as belonging to likely noncitizens. Local officials in Los Angeles County have challenged the reliability of the federal list, noting that nearly 40% of sampled records indicated U.S. birthplaces, while 71% had no voting history. The Justice Department maintains that states must verify citizenship, despite previous errors in similar noncitizen voter claims in Nevada.
Key points
- DOJ is evaluating lawsuits against seven other all-mail states (Colorado, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Vermont, Washington) and D.C., in addition to California.
- Attorney General Todd Blanche stated he would not rule out federal action to block state certification of votes, though he denied intent to improperly interfere.
- Los Angeles County officials found that 38.9% of a 200-person sample from the DOJ’s list indicated U.S. birthplaces, and 43% had canceled registrations.
- The DOJ previously claimed 16,000 Nevada voters were noncitizens, a figure later reduced to 185, all of whom were verified as citizens by state records.
- California officials argue the federal demand is unfeasible and potentially illegal, while the DOJ asserts the state is engaging in 'willful blindness' regarding federal law.
Background
This development follows the DOJ’s October 15 lawsuit against California and Los Angeles County, which sought to halt the counting of 20,000 mail ballots. That initial action was part of a broader federal push to investigate alleged voter fraud ahead of the November 3 midterms, including a 'coordinated criminal voter fraud surge initiative' in nine states. The current reports indicate an escalation from pre-election challenges to potential post-election interference with the certification process.
How outlets are covering it
NBC News and The Guardian emphasize the unreliability of the federal data, highlighting that a significant portion of the flagged individuals were born in the U.S. or had no voting history. NPR notes that the 28 individuals recently charged by the DOJ were all legal permanent residents, suggesting misunderstandings of rules rather than intentional fraud. In contrast, the DOJ, represented by Acting Deputy Attorney General Trent McCotter and spokesperson Kiersten Pels, acknowledges potential errors but insists that states must independently verify citizenship and that federal law prohibits 'willful blindness.' Blanche’s comments to NBC News frame potential post-election action as a last-resort measure, distinguishing between planned interference and reactive legal responses.
Why it matters
The potential expansion of DOJ litigation to other all-mail states and into the post-election certification phase represents a significant escalation in federal involvement in state election administration. If successful, such legal challenges could delay the certification of results in key midterm races, raising constitutional questions about the limits of federal power over state election processes. The reliability of the data used to target voters is central to the legal and political debate, with errors in previous cases undermining the credibility of the federal claims.
What to watch
The DOJ is expected to finalize its strategy for additional lawsuits before or after the November 3 midterms. California and Los Angeles County will continue to contest the reliability of the federal list in court. The outcome of the current California litigation may set a precedent for whether federal courts will allow the DOJ to intervene in the certification of votes in other states. Blanche and other DOJ officials may provide further clarity on the scope of potential post-election actions in the coming weeks.
- Report: Trump DOJ considers suing more states to control ballot counting, before or after the midterms Democracy Docket
- Blanche won’t rule out DOJ post-election action in a ‘doomsday’ scenario NBC News
- Blanche Says More States Could Face DOJ Suits Over Elections Bloomberg.com
- DoJ’s suspected non-citizens list includes ‘high percentage’ of those born in US, LA officials say The Guardian
- Some on DOJ's 20,000 'likely' noncitizen list in California appear to be U.S.-born NPR
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