New Texans, New Math: Migration Upends Texas 2026 Senate Race
TL;DR
Texas has added roughly 2.6 million residents since 2020, fueling rapid growth in exurbs and suburbs that are reshaping the electorate. The influx creates uncertainty in the 2026 Senate race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico as newcomers’ political leanings are less predictable, and Latino voters show signs of moving away from Trump, complicating Republicans’ traditional margins even as Paxton remains a strong incumbent.
- New Texans, Latino doubts about Trump cloud Paxton's Senate bid Axios
- Now There Are Five The American Prospect
- Capehart and Continetti on Talarico’s chances against Paxton in Texas PBS
- Democrats have fresh hope to win back Senate – could they really pull it off? The Guardian
- Democrats Suddenly Have a Real Shot at Flipping the Senate New York Magazine
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