"Renowned Historian's Prediction for 2024 Election Winner"

Historian Allan Lichtman, known for accurately predicting presidential election outcomes since 1984, suggests that President Biden currently holds a slight lead over former President Trump in a hypothetical 2024 matchup based on his "Keys to the White House" formula. Biden has secured five of the "keys" while Trump has captured three, leaving five undecided. The formula includes factors such as party mandate, incumbency, economy, and charisma. Lichtman correctly predicted Trump's 2016 win and Biden's 2020 victory.