Rubio Tightens 2028 Race as Vance Loses Ground in General-Election Odds

1 min read
Source: The Daily Beast
Rubio Tightens 2028 Race as Vance Loses Ground in General-Election Odds
Photo: The Daily Beast
TL;DR Summary

Prediction markets on Kalshi show Marco Rubio narrowly ahead of JD Vance to win the 2028 presidential election (16% vs. 15%), with Gavin Newsom at 11%. Rubio is also favored to win the general election, while Vance remains the GOP nomination frontrunner. Trump privately leans toward Vance but has not endorsed him. UNH polling indicates Vance’s lead over Rubio has shrunk dramatically (from 46 points to about 10), donors like Ken Griffin signal backing for Rubio if he runs, and White House tensions over Vance’s performance underscore a broader scramble in the race.

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