Texas Senate Race: Talarico and Paxton Knot Tight in New Poll

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Source: Politico
TL;DR Summary

Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are tied at 47% each among likely Texas voters in a New York Times/Siena poll for the open Senate seat, with 6% undecided. Gov. Greg Abbott leads Democrat Gina Hinojosa 51–44, and President Trump’s Texas approval remains underwater (44% approve, 53% disapprove). The survey of 656 likely voters (June 19–27) has a ±4.5-point margin of error. Talarico’s strong fundraising and Paxton’s bruising primary, plus GOP concerns about Paxton’s viability, keep Texas as a major battleground in the 2026 elections.

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