NHC tracks first Atlantic system with slim development odds, no Florida threat
TL;DR
The National Hurricane Center is tracking the Atlantic season’s first system—a broad area of low pressure likely to form over the Bay of Campeche from a tropical wave. Development is expected to be limited (about a 10% chance in 2–7 days) and the system is not expected to threaten Florida, likely moving inland over eastern Mexico this weekend. The outlook notes marginal conditions for development; updates come every six hours. With the Atlantic quiet and the eastern Pacific active (three storms), NOAA projects a below-normal 2026 season: 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, and 1–3 major hurricanes.
- Hurricane center continues to track 1st Atlantic basin system with chance to form Orlando Sentinel
- Updated Atlantic hurricane forecast released as first area of interest works to develop WFTV
- THE TROPICS: Forecasters monitor first tropical development chance of the season Live 5 News
- First tropical disturbance spotted in the Bay of Campeche WINK News - Southwest Florida
- First area to watch of Atlantic hurricane season in the Gulf The Weather Channel
Want the full story? Read the original reporting
Read on Orlando Sentinel