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Could a Super El Niño Finally End Colorado’s Drought?
weather13 hours ago

Could a Super El Niño Finally End Colorado’s Drought?

A potential super El Niño could bring above-average precipitation and substantial snowfall to Colorado, offering hope that the state’s long-running drought may ease. Forecasts from the Climate Prediction Center show a trajectory toward El Niño conditions this summer and a non‑zero chance (up to a third) of a “strong” or super El Niño by late 2026, with warmer Pacific waters potentially boosting storms and the monsoon. Past super El Niños (1982–83, 1997–98, 2015–16) produced wetter winters in parts of Colorado, but impacts are uncertain and depend on regional factors; current statewide snowpack is only about 22% of normal, stressing reservoirs, so even a powerful El Niño is not a guaranteed fix. Authorities remain cautiously optimistic but emphasize the unpredictable nature of long-range weather.

via The Coloradoan|
#climate-prediction-center#colorado-drought#el-nino
Could a Super El Niño Rewrite This Winter’s Weather?
science1 day ago

Could a Super El Niño Rewrite This Winter’s Weather?

Forecasts suggest a rare, potentially strong “super El Niño” could form as ocean temperatures in the eastern Pacific warm, altering global weather for months. If it strengthens, it may suppress Atlantic hurricanes, bring warmer northern U.S. winters and wetter conditions to the South, with timing possibly starting as soon as June and peaking in fall/winter. However, forecasts face the spring predictability barrier and there’s no certainty yet that it will reach “super” strength.

via HuffPost|
#climate#el-nino#enso
Alaska ends record-cold winter as El Niño looms with warmer, snow-light forecasts
weather1 day ago

Alaska ends record-cold winter as El Niño looms with warmer, snow-light forecasts

Alaska endured its coldest December–March in roughly 50 years, with Fairbanks posting its coldest period and Juneau experiencing a snowier December and March, while Anchorage logged its coldest March since 1960–61. Now forecasters anticipate a strong El Niño by mid-year, likely making summers 1–3 degrees warmer and winters 2–4 degrees warmer across most of the state, and substantially reducing snowfall, though some regions may see different effects.

via Alaska Public Media|
#alaska#el-nino#noaa
Early 2026 Outlook: Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to Be Slightly Below Average
weather1 day ago

Early 2026 Outlook: Atlantic Hurricane Season Expected to Be Slightly Below Average

Colorado State University’s April forecast predicts 13 named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes in the 2026 Atlantic season, a below-average tally driven by a likely later-arriving El Niño; the season runs June 1–Nov. 30 with about 75% of the long-term average, and there’s a 32% chance of a major hurricane making U.S. landfall and 35% for the Caribbean, with NOAA expected to release an additional outlook later.

via CBS News|
#atlantic-hurricane-season-2026#colorado-state-university-forecast#el-nino
El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions
weather2 days ago

El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions

Colorado State University’s early forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season projects a somewhat below-average year (13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes) due to a developing strong El Niño that increases wind shear and dampens activity; sea-surface temperatures are mixed, Gulf of Mexico activity may be less suppressed, and overall U.S. major hurricane landfall probability is about 32% (down from 43%), with Florida remaining the most at-risk state. Forecasts will be updated in June–August.

via Tampa Bay Times|
#csu-forecast#el-nino#gulf-of-mexico
California Braces for a Potentially Record-Setting El Niño Winter
weather2 days ago

California Braces for a Potentially Record-Setting El Niño Winter

Forecasters warn a potentially historic super El Niño could develop by fall, with NOAA predicting a >90% chance of El Niño and up to a 50% chance it will be strong; if it arrives, Southern California could see a wetter winter that replenishes water supplies but raises the risk of floods, debris flows and coastal erosion, even as it may reduce wildfire risk. Forecasters caution that even strong El Niños don’t always deliver predictable weather, citing past events (1982-83, 1997-98) that varied widely in rainfall. The pattern is tied to warmer Pacific waters and altered jet streams, and climate change could be intensifying swings; impacts may extend to marine life as warmer seas affect plankton and sea lion rookeries along the Channel Islands. More clarity is expected between May and June as models improve.

via Los Angeles Times|
#climate-change#el-nino#floods
El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season
weather2 days ago

El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season

Colorado State University’s initial hurricane forecast calls for a slightly below-average Atlantic season—about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major—driven primarily by the return of El Niño, which is expected to bring upper‑air wind shear that can weaken tropical systems. The La Niña pattern has ended and El Niño should be in place for the season’s peak (mid‑Aug to mid‑Oct). Yet mixed ocean temperatures across the Atlantic and the possibility of hotter‑than‑expected oceans mean the forecast carries uncertainty; stronger heat could erode El Niño’s quieting effect and spur rapid intensification, so conditions remain variable as the season approaches.

via CNN|
#colorado-state-university-forecast#el-nino#hurricane-season-2026
Dry, Firm Augusta National Sets Masters Stage for a Tough Week
sports2 days ago

Dry, Firm Augusta National Sets Masters Stage for a Tough Week

Dry, warm conditions are forecast to make Augusta National unusually firm and fast for the Masters, a setup expected to separate contenders as greens hold only well-struck shots and precise drives pay off; players are already adjusting gear (Keegan Bradley mentioning a 7-wood) and the week is shaping up to be a demanding, potentially exciting test under light, variable winds.

via Sports Illustrated|
#augusta-national#course-conditions#golf
Hawaii Braces for Fresh Downpour as Storms Prompt Flood Risks
weather2 days ago

Hawaii Braces for Fresh Downpour as Storms Prompt Flood Risks

Another tropical storm is forecast to drench Hawaii with 3–15 inches of rain through Friday, triggering a statewide flood watch as soils saturated by March’s deluge raise the risk of flooding and landslides; Kauai is expected to take the heaviest hit first, followed by Oahu, Maui and the Big Island, with gusts over 60 mph and moisture lingering into the weekend after March’s record rain caused evacuations and more than a billion dollars in damage.

via The New York Times|
#flooding#hawaii#rainfall
Lightning the lone weather hiccup for UFC's White House showdown
sports2 days ago

Lightning the lone weather hiccup for UFC's White House showdown

Dana White says the UFC's White House card on June 14 will be staged on the South Lawn with a protective structure around the octagon; rain, heavy winds, or bugs won't derail the event, but lightning could force a delay while crews wait it out. Preparations began in May with the production lead already in DC, and a preview of the setup will air during UFC 327 from Miami, where President Trump is expected to attend.

via MMA Fighting|
#dana-white#sports#ufc
Kona storm returns to Hawaii, renewing flood threat across the islands
weather3 days ago

Kona storm returns to Hawaii, renewing flood threat across the islands

A potent Kona storm is bringing heavy rain to Hawaii, renewing flood fears two weeks after the state suffered its worst flooding in 20 years. Forecasters expect about 4–8 inches of rain statewide, with heavier bands over 10 inches possible, threatening Oahu, the Big Island, and Kauai. A flood watch remains through Friday, and Honolulu will activate its Emergency Operations Center with first responders deployed to vulnerable areas, as evacuations may become necessary. This marks the third Kona storm to hit Hawaii since mid-March, following March floods that dumped a foot of rain on Oahu and caused hundreds of rescues; some locations recorded up to 25 inches in a 24-hour period.

via CNN|
#emergency-operations#flooding#hawaii