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El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions
weather1 day ago

El Niño-Driven Outlook Narrows 2026 Hurricane Season Predictions

Colorado State University’s early forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season projects a somewhat below-average year (13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes) due to a developing strong El Niño that increases wind shear and dampens activity; sea-surface temperatures are mixed, Gulf of Mexico activity may be less suppressed, and overall U.S. major hurricane landfall probability is about 32% (down from 43%), with Florida remaining the most at-risk state. Forecasts will be updated in June–August.

California Braces for a Potentially Record-Setting El Niño Winter
weather1 day ago

California Braces for a Potentially Record-Setting El Niño Winter

Forecasters warn a potentially historic super El Niño could develop by fall, with NOAA predicting a >90% chance of El Niño and up to a 50% chance it will be strong; if it arrives, Southern California could see a wetter winter that replenishes water supplies but raises the risk of floods, debris flows and coastal erosion, even as it may reduce wildfire risk. Forecasters caution that even strong El Niños don’t always deliver predictable weather, citing past events (1982-83, 1997-98) that varied widely in rainfall. The pattern is tied to warmer Pacific waters and altered jet streams, and climate change could be intensifying swings; impacts may extend to marine life as warmer seas affect plankton and sea lion rookeries along the Channel Islands. More clarity is expected between May and June as models improve.

El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season
weather2 days ago

El Niño’s fingerprint signals a quieter Atlantic hurricane season

Colorado State University’s initial hurricane forecast calls for a slightly below-average Atlantic season—about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major—driven primarily by the return of El Niño, which is expected to bring upper‑air wind shear that can weaken tropical systems. The La Niña pattern has ended and El Niño should be in place for the season’s peak (mid‑Aug to mid‑Oct). Yet mixed ocean temperatures across the Atlantic and the possibility of hotter‑than‑expected oceans mean the forecast carries uncertainty; stronger heat could erode El Niño’s quieting effect and spur rapid intensification, so conditions remain variable as the season approaches.

Hawaii Braces for Fresh Downpour as Storms Prompt Flood Risks
weather2 days ago

Hawaii Braces for Fresh Downpour as Storms Prompt Flood Risks

Another tropical storm is forecast to drench Hawaii with 3–15 inches of rain through Friday, triggering a statewide flood watch as soils saturated by March’s deluge raise the risk of flooding and landslides; Kauai is expected to take the heaviest hit first, followed by Oahu, Maui and the Big Island, with gusts over 60 mph and moisture lingering into the weekend after March’s record rain caused evacuations and more than a billion dollars in damage.

Kona storm returns to Hawaii, renewing flood threat across the islands
weather2 days ago

Kona storm returns to Hawaii, renewing flood threat across the islands

A potent Kona storm is bringing heavy rain to Hawaii, renewing flood fears two weeks after the state suffered its worst flooding in 20 years. Forecasters expect about 4–8 inches of rain statewide, with heavier bands over 10 inches possible, threatening Oahu, the Big Island, and Kauai. A flood watch remains through Friday, and Honolulu will activate its Emergency Operations Center with first responders deployed to vulnerable areas, as evacuations may become necessary. This marks the third Kona storm to hit Hawaii since mid-March, following March floods that dumped a foot of rain on Oahu and caused hundreds of rescues; some locations recorded up to 25 inches in a 24-hour period.

Midwest Storm Threat: Tornadoes, Large Hail and 80 mph Winds Thursday
weather16 days ago

Midwest Storm Threat: Tornadoes, Large Hail and 80 mph Winds Thursday

Forecasters warn that late Thursday storms moving across the Midwest just south of the Great Lakes could bring severe weather, including very large hail, damaging winds up to 80 mph and possible tornadoes, especially in Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. A marginal flash-flood risk is noted, and the system is expected to weaken overnight as it shifts southeast, with the rest of the week remaining comparatively quiet before another round of storms midweek+

Storm Watch: Cubs' Home Opener Could Be Hit by Baseball-Sized Hail
weather16 days ago

Storm Watch: Cubs' Home Opener Could Be Hit by Baseball-Sized Hail

A National Weather Service hazard outlook warns Thursday could bring severe thunderstorms to Chicago around the Cubs' home opener at Wrigley Field, with hail potentially exceeding 2 inches in diameter, along with 60 mph winds and lightning; the game (1:20 p.m. start) could be canceled, and fans are advised to stay indoors and follow updates on postponements. Forecasters expect rain late Wednesday into Thursday, with clearer skies and cooler temperatures by Friday, and March's earlier giant hail incidents underscoring the risk.

Heat wave expands to 17 states, threatening widespread daily temperature records
weather17 days ago

Heat wave expands to 17 states, threatening widespread daily temperature records

Seventeen states could break daily temperature records on Wednesday as a West-to-central U.S. heat wave expands, with Phoenix possibly reaching 100°F and multiple cities hitting 90s. Forecasters warn of elevated wildfire risk due to strong winds and very low humidity, and the heat is expected to move east toward the East Coast by Friday, with more than 60 Western records and up to 200 additional daily records possible through Sunday.