NATO on the Brink: Will the US Stay United or Drift Away Under Trump?

Trump’s anti-NATO stance and his Iran-focused crisis threaten alliance credibility, raising questions whether the US would actually quit. While a formal withdrawal would require Congress, Washington can still scale back guarantees and redeploy troops, pressuring Europe to bolster defense. Experts see a possible but radically reimagined European NATO that would demand massive investment and years to close capability gaps, with Russia’s posture and the Ukraine crisis fueling urgency.