McIlroy Tops Masters 2026 Projections as Model Reveals Surprising Leaderboard and Longshots

SportsLine’s projection model simulated the Masters 2026 final two rounds 10,000 times, placing Rory McIlroy as the -280 favorite and solo leader at 12 under, six shots ahead of Patrick Reed and Sam Burns. Fleetwood, Rose, and Lowry sit within five under and in position to contend. The model predicts Burns stumbles down the stretch and falls out of the top 5, while Scottie Scheffler (+6500) makes a dramatic surge back into the top 5 from T24, plus a massive longshot lurks as a contender. Full leaderboard and picks are available through the model’s predictions.