France Tops Opta’s World Cup 2026 Projections as Quarterfinals Loom

Opta’s 25,000-simulation supercomputer places France as the favorite to win the 2026 World Cup (27.3%), with Spain (21.3%) and England (16.5%) also strong as the quarterfinals arrive. Argentina sits at 17.3%, while dark horses Norway (6.6%) and Morocco (3.7%) remain in contention alongside Switzerland (3.8%) and Belgium (3.6%). The analysis highlights Spain’s solid defense, potential semi paths (including a possible Spain–France clash), and how the field’s narrowing reshapes odds compared to pre-tournament forecasts.