Opta’s near-certain forecast: Arsenal tipped to beat Burnley as title race nears its end

Arsenal are 87.8% favourites to beat Burnley at the Emirates according to Opta’s 10,000-simulations model, putting them on the brink of sealing the Premier League title with two wins left. Burnley, relegated and weak away from home, pose little threat, while Arsenal’s strong home form against bottom-half teams and historical context of rare upsets under high-probability predictions reinforce the expectation of a near-certain victory—though football, as always, remains unpredictable.