Democrats edge ahead in NBC poll as Trump hits new low

A new NBC News poll shows Democrats with a 5-point edge on the generic congressional ballot (49% to 44%), with independents, Black and Latino voters, younger voters, and those with a college degree favoring Democrats; Republicans hold advantages among men, White voters, and those without a college degree. Democrats need to net only three House seats and four Senate seats to win majorities, while redistricting has narrowed the battlefield. Trump’s approval among registered voters is 42%—the lowest in his second term—with disapproval strongest among independents and rising among young and Latino voters, though most Republicans remain supportive. The poll also finds broad pessimism about the country’s direction and limited confidence in federal institutions and Congress, based on 2,400 registered voters surveyed May 29–June 7 with a ±2-point margin.