Mossad Bet on Iran Uprising Fails to Materialize as War Persists

TL;DR Summary
Mossad chief David Barnea urged plans to spark a domestic Iranian revolt within days of the conflict, a strategy Netanyahu and some U.S. officials initially embraced, including mobilizing Kurdish forces. But weeks into the war, intelligence assessments show the Iranian government remains intact and capable of quelling protests, making a mass uprising unlikely. The strategy hinged on ground support and provocation, including Kurdish actions, but those have faced skepticism and pushback from U.S. leaders. While some officials say pressure on Tehran continues, there’s little evidence of the hoped-for regime-change outcome arriving anytime soon.
- Israel Thought It Could Spur Rebellion Inside Iran. That Hasn’t Happened. The New York Times
- Israel urges Iranians to revolt but privately assesses they’ll be ‘slaughtered’ The Washington Post
- Israel Now Sees Iran’s Survival as a Real Possibility Newsweek
- Mossad chief told PM before war that he thought Iran’s regime could be toppled – report The Times of Israel
- Israeli Ambassador Says Attacks on Iran’s Power Plants Are Possible WSJ
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