Labour forecast to lose Wales' Senedd after 27 years in power
TL;DR Summary
Labour is expected to lose control of the Senedd, ending 27 years of Welsh government, with Plaid Cymru and Reform UK in a tight race under Wales’s proportional system; counting begins Friday and a majority is unlikely, potentially triggering leadership questions for Keir Starmer and possible talks on forming the next Welsh government.
- Labour expected to lose Senedd after century of winning Welsh elections BBC
- Final YouGov MRP of the 2026 Senedd election shows Plaid Cymru on course to be the largest party YouGov
- Welsh nationalists poised for historic election breakthrough Le Monde.fr
- Six Weeks, Six Parties, Zero Movement: The Campaign That Changed Nothing Wales Online
- Welsh Senedd Election Forecast Electoral Calculus
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