The Decline of Russia's Influence in Former Soviet Republics.

TL;DR Summary
Russia's influence over the southern Caucasus is starting to fade as its military involvement in Ukraine distracts it from the region. Armenia's defeat in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has shattered the illusion that it could rely on Russia for protection, and Azerbaijan is taking advantage of Russia's economic dependence on it and Turkey to exert military pressure on Armenia. The US and Europe are pushing their own peace initiatives and economic agendas, and Russian President Vladimir Putin is looking to restore Russian influence. Some Armenians are not putting their faith in either Russia or the West and are preparing to defend themselves.
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