US and Biden Administration's Efforts for Israel-Saudi Normalization Face Uncertainty.

The Biden administration is ramping up efforts to broker a normalization deal between Israel and Saudi Arabia, despite American officials assessing the chances of a deal at less than 50 percent. Saudi Arabia has demanded that the US cooperate with the kingdom on uranium enrichment for civilian purposes, American guarantees to defend the country if it is attacked, and a removal of certain barriers on arms sales to the kingdom. However, any proposal that does not include serious gains for Palestinians would be a non-starter for the Saudis, and Netanyahu must decide whether the price of giving an Israeli green light to Saudi enrichment and concessions to the Palestinians is worth the prize of official relations with Riyadh.