Minions & Monsters Lead July 4 Holiday Box Office Forecast
The July 3–5, 2026 domestic box office forecast has Universal/Illumination’s Minions & Monsters leading with an opening range of about $65–75 million (roughly 31% market share), followed by Toy Story 5 at roughly $33–38 million in its third weekend. Angel Studios’ Young Washington is targeting a $12–17 million four‑day debut, potentially edging out Supergirl, which is projected to $12–17 million in its second weekend after a weak launch. Cannibalization between the top titles is possible as families weigh their July 4 options, while DC’s Supergirl faces additional headwinds as audiences reassess their holiday choices.