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Bayesian Ensemble

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South Korean Women Poised to Average 90-Year Lifespan by 2030
health1 month ago

South Korean Women Poised to Average 90-Year Lifespan by 2030

A Lancet projection across 35 developed nations suggests South Korean women could become the first population to average life expectancy above 90 by 2030, surpassing Japan. The prediction—not guaranteed—rests on near-universal healthcare, equity in health gains, and favorable trends in obesity and blood pressure; the United States trails due to unequal access. The 90-year threshold is plausible (about 57% probability) with a 90% chance of exceeding 86.7 years. If realized, it would reshape retirement, elder care, and healthcare policy amid rapid aging in Korea.