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Bolsonaro

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Brazil’s Presidential Race Goes to Runoff as Flávio Bolsonaro Defies Polls to Lead Lula
world4 days ago

Brazil’s Presidential Race Goes to Runoff as Flávio Bolsonaro Defies Polls to Lead Lula

Brazil’s 2026 presidential election has moved to a runoff after neither incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva nor challenger Flávio Bolsonaro secured the required majority. Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, led the first round with 47% of the vote, narrowly ahead of Lula’s 45%. The second round is scheduled for October 25, 2026. The race is defined by deep polarization, economic anxiety, and tensions with the United States, with Flávio Bolsonaro campaigning on security and alignment with Washington, while Lula emphasizes sovereignty and social spending. Voter fatigue and corruption scandals, including the Banco Master case, have contributed to a muted but highly consequential contest.

Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Race Heads to Runoff After Flávio Bolsonaro’s Surprise First-Round Lead
politics5 days ago

Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Race Heads to Runoff After Flávio Bolsonaro’s Surprise First-Round Lead

Brazil’s 2026 presidential election will proceed to a runoff on October 25 after Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva failed to secure a majority in the first round. Bolsonaro led with 47.45% of the vote, outperforming pre-election polls, while Lula received 44.66%. The result signals a shift toward the right in Latin America, with right-wing parties gaining significant legislative seats. The campaign was defined by corruption scandals, economic anxiety, and international tensions, particularly regarding US interference and tariffs. Both candidates now face a three-week campaign to win over moderate voters in a highly polarized electorate.

Brazilian frontrunners skip final TV debate amid court rulings and tight polls
politics6 days ago

Brazilian frontrunners skip final TV debate amid court rulings and tight polls

The final televised presidential debate in Brazil was canceled on October 2, 2026, just three days before the first-round vote. Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro both withdrew, citing legal uncertainties and strategic caution. Lula appeared on a podcast instead, while Bolsonaro accused the electoral court of censorship. Polls show a tight race, with a runoff likely on October 25.

Lula Signs Emergency Ban on Online Gambling Amid Tight Brazilian Election
politics13 days ago

Lula Signs Emergency Ban on Online Gambling Amid Tight Brazilian Election

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has signed a provisional order banning online casinos and sports betting, effective immediately ahead of the October 4 presidential election. The move, which Lula described as removing a 'cancer' on household finances, faces opposition from betting firms and football clubs, while critics call it a populist electoral tactic. Bettors have until October 5 to withdraw funds, with sites blocking access by October 6.

Brazil’s Supreme Court faces upheaval as election looms with four seats at stake
world24 days ago

Brazil’s Supreme Court faces upheaval as election looms with four seats at stake

Brazil’s presidential race has intensified a crisis on the Supreme Court, which will gain at least four new justices who can serve until age 75, potentially shifting its balance for years. Lula supporters credit Justice Alexandre de Moraes for safeguarding elections and convicting Bolsonaro after the 2022 attempt to overturn the result; Bolsonaro allies vow to impeach de Moraes and push term limits for justices. The court is set to meet on whether de Moraes should be investigated, while Chief Justice Fachin seeks to lower tensions by handling the Banco Master investigations and unsealing related documents. Analysts warn that weakening de Moraes could embolden Bolsonaro if he loses and challenge future results.

Brazil’s Supreme Court Shakes Up Leadership, Widening a Courtroom Crisis
world1 month ago

Brazil’s Supreme Court Shakes Up Leadership, Widening a Courtroom Crisis

Justice Mendonça’s move to oust the federal police chief and the head of the intelligence service deepens a rift with fellow Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who sentenced Bolsonaro to prison last year. The decision follows revelations that Moraes sought Vorcaro’s legal counsel, fueling political backlash and renewed calls for Moraes’s resignation, while protesters and Bolsonaro supporters frame the development as a reassertion of police autonomy amid Brazil’s broader political clash.

Air force chief who refused Bolsonaro coup warns history must not repeat
politics1 month ago

Air force chief who refused Bolsonaro coup warns history must not repeat

A former Brazilian air force chief, Carlos de Almeida Baptista Júnior, recounts in a forthcoming book how Bolsonaro tried to use the military to overturn Lula’s 2022 election with a draft decree; two of the three service heads refused to back the plan, helping derail the coup, and several officers—including the navy commander and defence minister—were later convicted while Bolsonaro remains under house arrest. Baptista Júnior says his decision cost him friendships and he hopes the book prevents a repeat as Brazil heads into another election.

Lula and Bolsonaro Open Campaigns in Strongholds, Target Women Voters
elections1 month ago

Lula and Bolsonaro Open Campaigns in Strongholds, Target Women Voters

Brazil’s leading candidates Lula and Bolsonaro launched their campaigns from political strongholds—Lula in Sao Paulo and Bolsonaro at Rio’s Copacabana—voicing plans to combat femicide and gender violence to win women voters as the October election nears, with Lula highlighting mineral wealth and opposition to foreign interference and Bolsonaro stressing broad trade ties and international support.

Tight race: Lula vs. Bolsonaro in a dead heat ahead of Brazil’s election
politics4 months ago

Tight race: Lula vs. Bolsonaro in a dead heat ahead of Brazil’s election

Datafolha’s May 12–13 poll shows Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro tied at 45% each in a head-to-head for Brazil’s presidency, with 9% voting null and 1% undecided among 2,004 respondents, signaling a neck-and-neck race ahead of October’s vote. The piece also notes controversy surrounding Flavio’s campaign financing for a private film about Jair Bolsonaro and related investigations, as Lula’s lead narrows in the face of ongoing scrutiny of the Bolsonaro family.

Bolsonaro Campaign Faces New Scrutiny Over Banco Master Ties
politics4 months ago

Bolsonaro Campaign Faces New Scrutiny Over Banco Master Ties

Leaked audio messages link Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro to Daniel Vorcaro, the jailed ex‑CEO at the center of Banco Master’s multibillion-dollar fraud case. The messages allegedly show Bolsonaro seeking financial support for a film about his father, a development that could undermine his anti‑corruption positioning and threaten his campaign, though analysts say he remains a leading candidate and currently polls show him near Lula.

Congress Slashes Bolsonaro's Coup Sentence After Overriding Veto
world5 months ago

Congress Slashes Bolsonaro's Coup Sentence After Overriding Veto

Brazil's Congress overrode President Lula da Silva's veto to pass a bill that changes how prison terms are calculated, dramatically reducing former president Jair Bolsonaro's sentence for plotting a coup from 27 years to just over two years. The measure could still face challenge in the Supreme Court, and Bolsonaro had previously been placed under house arrest for health reasons as the case unfolds.

Brazil Congress Cuts Bolsonaro’s Coup Sentence, Signals Path to Open Regime
world5 months ago

Brazil Congress Cuts Bolsonaro’s Coup Sentence, Signals Path to Open Regime

Brazil’s Congress overrode Lula’s veto to pass a law reducing Jair Bolsonaro’s prison term for the 2022 coup attempt from 27 years and three months to 22 years and one month, and shortening time in closed regime, potentially allowing a move to an open regime by 2028; the measure also reduces sentences for about 280 other convicts and now awaits Supreme Court review, with Lula having not commented.