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Fear Premium

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Fear Premium Drives Oil Rally, Trump Admin Claims
politics1 month ago

Fear Premium Drives Oil Rally, Trump Admin Claims

Trump's energy secretary argues the oil price surge is driven by fear and perception, not a shortage, even as disruptions such as the Strait of Hormuz, halted production, and refinery strikes affect supply. He calls the rise a temporary 'fear premium' while acknowledging real threats to flow. The White House is weighing responses like political risk insurance and naval escorts, and a sanctions waiver was issued to allow more Russian oil purchases by Indian refiners. Analysts say both fear and supply disruptions fuel volatility, even as the IEA notes a global surplus that could tighten if disruptions persist.