Texas 2026: Polls Show Democrats Closing Gap in Statewide Races
The University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows Democrats holding narrow leads in multiple Texas statewide races, including the U.S. Senate contest, marking the first time they have polled ahead in these categories in decades. While the margins are within the margin of error, the data indicates a highly competitive cycle driven by higher Democratic enthusiasm. A separate Quantus Insights survey finds the Senate race effectively tied, with Republicans holding advantages among older and rural voters, while Democrats lead among younger, urban, and minority groups. Both surveys confirm that party loyalty and turnout will likely determine the outcome, as voters show low familiarity with down-ballot candidates.