Biden's 2024 Campaign Faces Historic Challenges
President Joe Biden is facing the worst polling environment for an incumbent president one year out from an election since the advent of the polling era in the 1930s. His approval ratings and head-to-head polling against likely challengers are significantly worse than those of past incumbents, including George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Donald Trump. Biden's low approval ratings and unfavorable polling position make him possibly the most vulnerable incumbent president since scientific polling was invented. However, there is still time for Democrats to rally, economic conditions to improve, and for Biden to clarify the choice for persuadable voters.