Iran Deal Could Redraw the Global Oil Map

An anticipated U.S.–Iran deal could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, returning barrels to a tightened oil market and potentially spawning new tanker tolls or fees that raise shipping costs and impose a lasting risk premium; a 2–3 month ramp-up is expected after mines are cleared as Gulf production resumes, while pipeline projects aim to bypass Hormuz and U.S. shale output may rise as prices strengthen, reshaping the global oil balance.