Gulf Crudes Signal Easing of Supply Crunch as Iran Deal Boosts Rebound Bets

TL;DR Summary
Rising hopes for Gulf oil supply recovery after the U.S.–Iran deal push Dubai and Murban futures into contango for the first time since the war began, signaling eased near-term scarcity; if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, production could recover, but it will likely take weeks to months for flows to return to pre-war levels, with much storage already holding crude in tankers.
- Dubai and Murban Crude Signal End of Middle East Supply Crunch Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
- View / Hormuz will never really be open again Semafor
- Potential End of War Tests Trump’s Promise of Quick Economic Rebound The New York Times
- Oil markets bet Trump would chicken out on Iran. They won Reuters
- Oil Prices Might Not Go Back to Normal Anytime Soon The Atlantic
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