Could a $5,000 Bet on Joby Aviation Take Flight in 3 Years?

The Motley Fool argues that if Joby Aviation (JOBY) secures full FAA certification, launches its first commercial flights internationally, and scales production with partners like Toyota, its revenue could grow from about $53M in 2025 to roughly $435M in 2028 and $870M in 2029. Using valuation multiples of 16–20x sales, the stock could push its market cap from the current roughly $6.8B toward $14–$17B by 2029, yielding a potential triple- to quadruple-sized return on a $5,000 investment. However, profitability remains uncertain, insiders have sold shares, and dilution is ongoing, making Joby a high-risk, speculative play despite its competitive eVTOL advantages and strong backing from Toyota, Delta, and Uber.