Lawmakers Push to Regulate War-Based Prediction Markets Amid Iran Crisis
TL;DR
Lawmakers are scrutinizing war-related prediction markets after bets on Iran escalate, with Sen. Chris Murphy promising legislation to ban or curb such markets; a Mick Mulvaney‑led group seeks tighter guardrails on prediction markets, while Kalshi says it bans death-related markets and refunded affected users, highlighting ongoing concerns about ethics and possible insider trading in federally regulated markets.
- Iran war prediction market bets draw heat: 'Insane this is legal' CNBC
- Prediction market trader 'Magamyman' made $553,000 on death of Iran's supreme leader NPR
- Bets on Fate of Iran’s Khamenei Spark Uproar at Leading Prediction Markets WSJ
- Prediction market bets on Iran strikes stoke insider trading, ethics scrutiny Reuters
- Fresh accounts netted $1 million on Polymarket hours before US airstrikes on Iran: Bubblemaps The Block
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