Gallup: Democrats widen lead as independents rise
TL;DR Summary
Gallup's latest quarterly data show 49% of voters lean Democrat and 39% lean Republican, a 10-point Democratic edge that reverses late-2024 GOP gains and marks the largest Democrat-lean in Gallup data since 2008; independents now make up 45% of the electorate, with only 27% identifying as Democrat or Republican, while Trump’s approval sits around 38% and disapproval at 58%, a dynamic Democrats hope will aid midterm chances though Senate control remains uncertain.
- More voters identifying as Democrats and not calling themselves Republican The Guardian
- Gallup Polls Show Democrats Outnumber Republicans Ahead of 2026 Midterm Elections The New York Times
- More Americans are identifying as Democrats in latest troubling sign for Trump and the midterms The Independent
- Democrats' midterms edge, Canada relations, data centers, and more: August 28 - 31, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll YouGov
- Republicans Face New Midterm Warning as Democrats Gain Party Edge Newsweek
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