GOP bets mid-decade redistricting will lock in a House edge

Republicans argue that the 2026 redistricting effort has created structural advantages that shrink competitive House districts and strengthen the GOP’s hold, citing an NRCC memo that the map has shifted the battlefield in ways favorable to Republicans, including more Trump-won districts becoming safer. Democrats counter that attempts to rig the midterms through gerrymandering won’t work and point to ongoing court battles and further redraws ahead of 2028.