Tag

Gerrymandering

All articles tagged with #gerrymandering

politics5 days ago•7 min saved

Midterm Forecast: Democrats Poised for House Takeover as GOP Grapples with Structural and Polling Deficits

With one month until the November 3 midterm elections, polling and modeling indicate a high probability of Democratic gains in the House and a competitive fight for the Senate. While Republicans retain financial advantages and structural map benefits, President Trump’s declining approval ratings, unpopular policies, and economic concerns are driving a potential 'blue wave.' Forecasters predict Democrats could win the House with a net gain of 3 to 15 seats, while the Senate remains a tight race requiring four pickups for Democratic control.

via The Washington Post|

#congressional-control #election-forecasting #gerrymandering

politics14 days ago•2 min saved

Supreme Court Halts Missouri Redistricting Fight, Preserving 2022 Map for Midterms

The U.S. Supreme Court has definitively blocked the use of a Republican-drawn congressional map in Missouri for the November 2026 midterms. The Court’s unanimous, unsigned ruling on September 25, 2026, overrode lower federal court orders that had attempted to enforce the new map, which would have shifted the state’s House delegation from a 6-2 Republican majority to 7-1. By invoking the 'Purcell principle,' the justices ruled that changing district lines so close to an election—where absentee ballots are already being mailed—would cause 'electoral chaos.' This marks the third time this month the Supreme Court has intervened to preserve the 2022 map, which includes a Democratic-leaning district in the Kansas City area held by Rep. Emanuel Cleaver. While the decision ends the immediate legal battle, it highlights ongoing tensions between state and federal courts regarding election rules.

via Politico|

#gerrymandering #midterms #missouri

politics15 days ago•22 min saved

Supreme Court blocks Missouri's GOP-favored congressional map for the third time

The U.S. Supreme Court has blocked Missouri from using a new congressional map favoring Republicans for the third time this month, ending a legal dispute that created uncertainty for the November midterm elections. The court ruled that switching maps at this late stage would cause electoral chaos, as absentee voting has already begun. The decision preserves the 2022 map, which includes a Democratic-leaning district, and was a loss for President Trump and Missouri Governor Mike Kehoe, who had pushed for the new boundaries. Challengers, including the group People Not Politicians, celebrated the ruling as a victory for voters over political manipulation.

via The Washington Post|

#gerrymandering #midterm-elections #missouri

politics15 days ago•2 min saved

Supreme Court Halts Missouri Redistricting Fight, Preserving 2022 Map for Midterms

The U.S. Supreme Court unanimously blocked Missouri from using a new, Republican-favored congressional map for the 2026 midterm elections, marking the third time the high court has intervened in this dispute. The decision preserves the 2022 map, which includes six Republican and two Democratic seats, ensuring the election proceeds without the logistical chaos of switching districts mid-cycle. The court emphasized that the election process has already begun, with absentee ballots sent and military voters voting, making a last-minute change impractical. This ruling concludes a months-long legal battle involving state and federal courts, with the Missouri Supreme Court previously holding Secretary of State Denny Hoskins in contempt for delaying a referendum on the new map. The 2025 map, which would have eliminated a Democratic seat held by Rep. Emanuel Cleaver, was part of a broader national push by Republicans to redraw districts, but it has been consistently rejected by courts due to procedural violations and timing issues.

via NBC News|

#2026-midterms #election-law #gerrymandering

politics15 days ago•22 min saved

Supreme Court blocks Missouri’s Republican-drawn map for third time, halting midterm chaos

The US Supreme Court has blocked Missouri from using a Republican-drawn congressional map for the November midterms for the third time. The justices suspended lower court orders that had mandated the new boundaries, preserving the existing 2022 map. This decision comes as absentee voting has already begun in the state, preventing the logistical disruption of shifting over one million voters. The ruling follows a rapid back-and-forth involving the Eighth Circuit and the Missouri Supreme Court, with opponents arguing the new map was an unlawful attempt to gerrymander districts and disenfranchise residents of Kansas City.

via The Guardian|

#gerrymandering #midterm-elections #missouri-redistricting

politics16 days ago•0 min saved

Missouri’s Election Chaos: Supreme Court Weighs Third Appeal as 8th Circuit Defies State Ruling

The U.S. Supreme Court is reviewing a third appeal regarding Missouri’s congressional map, after the 8th Circuit Court of Appeals ordered the state to use a GOP-favored gerrymandered map for November elections, directly contradicting the Missouri Supreme Court’s ruling that the map is invalid under state law. Local election officials are advising voters to delay casting ballots due to the uncertainty, while Missouri Republicans blame the state court for the chaos, ignoring their own delays in processing a referendum petition.

via Democracy Docket|

#2026-midterms #election-law #gerrymandering

politics16 days ago•3 min saved

Missouri election officials urge voters to pause as Supreme Court weighs gerrymandered map

Missouri election officials are advising voters to delay casting absentee ballots until the U.S. Supreme Court resolves a dispute over which congressional map to use in November. The state is currently using the 2022 map, but a federal appeals court has ordered the use of a new, GOP-favored 2025 map. Local clerks warn that voting now could result in ballots being cast under the wrong district lines if the Supreme Court reverses the lower court’s order.

via Politico|

#2026-midterms #election-law #gerrymandering

politics17 days ago•1 min saved

Supreme Court faces third emergency appeal over Missouri's contested House map

The Supreme Court is reviewing a third emergency appeal regarding Missouri's congressional map, as the 8th Circuit Court of Appeals ordered the state to use a new GOP-favored map for November elections, reversing prior rulings that favored the existing 2022 map.

via Politico|

#election-law #gerrymandering #missouri

politics19 days ago•5 min saved

8th Circuit Restores GOP-Drawn Missouri Map Ahead of Midterms

An 8th Circuit panel revived Missouri’s GOP-drawn congressional map for the upcoming midterms, ordering state officials to use the 2025 map despite the Missouri Supreme Court’s 7–0 reversal. If it stands, the map could yield one additional Republican seat by erasing Emanuel Cleaver’s Kansas City district. The ruling follows a tangle of conflicting court decisions and, while not immediately binding, gives opponents a week to seek Supreme Court relief before the election proceeds under the new map.

via Politico|

#eighth-circuit #gerrymandering #missouri

news-and-politics23 days ago•13 min saved

Missouri Gerrymander Clash Heads to Courts, Could Cost $80 Million

Missouri’s yearlong fight over which congressional map to use for November elections continues after the Missouri Supreme Court found Secretary of State Denny Hoskins in contempt for blocking a referendum petition; a fresh lawsuit seeks up to about $80 million in damages under a constitutional provision for aggrieved voters, while the fate of the maps remains unsettled as the 8th Circuit weighs competing challenges and possible Supreme Court review; the contested Kansas City seat could flip if the gerrymandered map is used, and roughly 23% of Missouri voters will vote in a different district than in August with mail ballots going out soon.

via Slate Magazine|

#congressional-map #election-law #gerrymandering

government-and-politics28 days ago•5 min saved

8th Circuit Set to Hear Missouri Redistricting Case After Supreme Court Block

Missouri’s congressional redistricting fight moves to the 8th U.S. Circuit next week after the Supreme Court blocked reinstating the new map; with the Missouri Supreme Court already ordering use of the 2022 map for November, observers say that map will likely stand for the election amid ongoing appeals under the Purcell principle.

via kansascity.com|

#8th-circuit #gerrymandering #government-and-politics

politics29 days ago•4 min saved

Trump Pushes Census Change to Tilt Congress Toward GOP

President Trump’s administration proposed changes to the 2030 census that would exclude non-U.S. citizens from the apportionment count and drop race/ethnicity data, a move intended to shift House seats and Electoral College votes toward Republican‑controlled states. The proposal, tied to the 2024 election and directed by Trump, would be open to public comment until Oct. 13 and has drawn lawsuits and threats from Democrats and civil rights groups who say it would undermine constitutional and Voting Rights protections. Critics warn it would deprive marginalized communities of representation, while supporters argue it reflects an originalist reading of the Constitution.

via Democracy Docket|

#census #gerrymandering #politics

politics1 month ago•6 min saved

Missouri Supreme Court demands Hoskins explain actions amid map feud

The Missouri Supreme Court ordered Secretary of State Denny Hoskins to appear in person to explain why he should not be held in contempt for directing local election officials to use a GOP‑drawn, blocked congressional map. The court已 ruled the map cannot take effect without a voter referendum, while federal rulings further complicate the dispute (SCOTUS declined to reinstate the map; a federal judge barred anything but HB 1). Hoskins says he will continue pressing the map, and a Thursday hearing in Jefferson City plus a noon Wednesday response deadline were set as the case continues to unfold.

via Kansas City Star|

#contempt #gerrymandering #hoskins

politics1 month ago•4 min saved

Missouri GOP seeks to overturn court-blocked pro-Republican map

A Republican congressman and allies filed a federal lawsuit to overturn the Missouri Supreme Court’s decision blocking a GOP-friendly congressional map and forcing a statewide ballot, arguing the ruling disenfranchises 1.2 million primary voters and upends the election process; Missouri Republicans have also petitioned the US Supreme Court for relief as arguments loom.

via nypost.com|

#gerrymandering #lawsuits #missouri

politics1 month ago•2 min saved

A National Swing Could Decide the House: Democrats Edge or Republicans Surge

Axios finds Democrats roughly 6-10 points ahead of their 2024 presidential performance in current House races, which could translate into a Democratic majority of 221-214 or 230-205 depending on the national swing. If Republicans outperform Trump’s 2024 numbers by 5 points, the GOP could reach 253-182; if 2026 resembles 2024, they’d net about 16 seats for a 236-199 edge. Democrats would still face a money gap, and crossover districts have dwindled, making waves easier to recognize in hindsight, while two conditions—Trump being unpopular and vulnerable Republicans staying aligned—remain key to a Democratic win.

via axios.com|

#democrats #gerrymandering #house-of-representatives