Historic Disapproval: Trump's Inflation Rating Surpasses Watergate and War Crises

Key points

• AP-NORC poll shows 82% disapproval of Trump on inflation, with only 17% approval.
• 65% of Americans blame Trump's policies for high prices, compared to 44% blaming Biden in 2022.
• Disapproval exceeds historical lows for the Iraq War, Watergate, and Hurricane Katrina.
• 69% of the public says Trump's handling of the cost of living is worse than expected.
• 46% of adults say their families are worse off since the start of Trump's second term.

Background

This surge in disapproval follows earlier concerns raised in September 2026, such as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis's warning that Trump's proposed $5,000 checks would spike inflation. Additionally, critics noted that Trump's focus on events like the Presidents Cup distracted from urgent economic and foreign policy issues, including the Iran war.

How outlets are covering it

CNN's Aaron Blake emphasizes the historic nature of the 82% disapproval, noting it exceeds ratings for major scandals and wars. Axios highlights the contrast between solid economic growth and voter frustration, noting that 26% approve of the economy overall, rivaling Biden's worst ratings. AP-NORC provides the raw data, showing 65% blame Trump's policies for prices, while 67% of Republicans believe prices are due to factors beyond his control. All sources agree that this dissatisfaction is a major liability for the 2026 midterms, despite some economic indicators showing stability.

Why it matters

The unprecedented level of disapproval on inflation suggests that the Republican Party may face significant challenges in the 2026 midterm elections, as voters prioritize cost-of-living issues over other policy areas. This could force a shift in legislative priorities toward affordability measures.

What to watch

The White House is expected to respond to the poll findings, potentially adjusting economic messaging or policy. Republicans may push for legislation on affordability before the midterms, while Democrats may leverage the poll to highlight the administration's failures. The coming weeks will see increased focus on how the administration addresses voter concerns about prices and economic stability.