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Inflation

All articles tagged with #inflation

Fed Promises Price Stability Amid Elevated Inflation
business16 hours ago

Fed Promises Price Stability Amid Elevated Inflation

In its semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, the Fed pledges to deliver price stability even as inflation stays elevated, pointing to energy costs from the Middle East conflict, tariffs, and semiconductor demand as drivers. Officials see two possible rate paths—holding steady or raising rates if inflation remains stubborn—and Chair Kevin Warsh is set to testify next week with limited forward guidance, while noting new focus on data quality and AI’s productivity impact.

Trump Claims Walmart Price Cuts Were His Win, But They Were Already in Place
politics1 day ago

Trump Claims Walmart Price Cuts Were His Win, But They Were Already in Place

Trump touted Walmart price reductions on Truth Social as a win for his administration, including a beef price drop, but Walmart said the cuts were already planned and had been in place for a week; the White House defended the claim while Walmart emphasized it extended through the summer, highlighting ongoing concerns about rising grocery prices and the economy ahead of polling on Trump’s handling of inflation.

IMF Slashes 2026 Global Growth to 3% Amid Trump-Iran Tensions
world2 days ago

IMF Slashes 2026 Global Growth to 3% Amid Trump-Iran Tensions

The IMF cut its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.0% and raised inflation to 4.7%, citing higher commodity prices and risks from renewed Middle East conflict that could disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz; it projects a rebound to about 3.4% in 2027 and 3.5% trade growth in 2026, but warns the geopolitical flare‑ups could slow that recovery. The article links the IMF’s outlook to domestic political headwinds for Trump as he faces criticism over the economy, including Iran-related tensions and a ceasefire declaration at a NATO summit, noting the IMF forecast was finalized before his latest statements.

Fed Minutes Reveal Split Over Rates as Inflation Risks Persist
economy2 days ago

Fed Minutes Reveal Split Over Rates as Inflation Risks Persist

Federal Reserve minutes from last meeting show officials divided on the path for interest rates, with upside inflation risks from AI-driven demand and other shocks; most participants saw keeping rates unchanged this month as justified, but some favored firming if inflation remains elevated, and many projected rates at or below current levels by year-end, highlighting policy uncertainty as Warsh offered no new projections.

Tariffs linger as firms roll out 'trickle-up' price hikes, fueling ongoing inflation
business2 days ago

Tariffs linger as firms roll out 'trickle-up' price hikes, fueling ongoing inflation

New York Fed findings show tariffs aren’t a one-off price shock: about 47% of service firms and 44% of manufacturers plan additional tariff-driven price increases, often using a slow, 'trickle up' pricing approach that lets costs creep to consumers over months. The policy has been revived through sections 122 and 301 after IEEPA tariffs were struck down, and Fed research links tariff costs to higher inflation (Dallas Fed: core inflation ~3.2% in March vs ~2.3% without tariffs). Projections from Tax Foundation suggest hundreds of dollars per American household in tariff-related costs this year and next, with pass-through prices typically lagging several months, meaning consumers will continue feeling price increases as tariffs persist.

PepsiCo hits receipts abroad as US shoppers trim snacks amid inflation
business2 days ago

PepsiCo hits receipts abroad as US shoppers trim snacks amid inflation

PepsiCo posted a better‑than‑expected quarter with adjusted EPS of $2.20 and revenue of $24.2 billion, driven by strength overseas, even as U.S. consumers pared back snacks and soda due to higher living costs. North America volume fell about 2% and pricing gains were offset by softer NA performance, helped by successful multipacks and zero‑sugar drinks. The company still expects full‑year organic revenue up 2‑4% and core EPS up 4‑6% in constant currencies, with a gradual improvement in North America in the second half; the stock fell around 5% after the report.

Warsh Era Signals Prolonged Fed Rate-Hike Cycle
economy3 days ago

Warsh Era Signals Prolonged Fed Rate-Hike Cycle

With incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, officials indicate a multi-rate tightening cycle rather than a single move, as the June meeting minutes are expected to offer clues on policy pace amid stubborn inflation; markets price a September hike and hold thereafter, while analysts debate how quickly policy will tighten further or ease later in the cycle.

New York Fed finds higher inflation expectations as healthcare and rent rise for households
economy4 days ago

New York Fed finds higher inflation expectations as healthcare and rent rise for households

The New York Fed's June Survey of Consumer Expectations shows median inflation expectations rising to 3.7% for the year ahead and 3.3% over three years. Respondents expect healthcare costs to surge about 9.4% and rent to climb about 8.3% in the next year, while gas costs ease. Pay growth is expected to 2.8%, unemployment expectations fall, and housing costs remain a key driver of consumer concerns amid a broader inflation backdrop.

science5 days ago

Kīlauea Pauses as USGS Forecasts Lava Fountaining Episode 51 for July 9–13

Kīlauea's summit eruption remains paused while inflation continues; USGS expects lava fountaining episode 51 to occur between July 9 and July 13, though the date could shift with inflation/deflation, and observers report persistent glow from the vents, low tremor, rising tilt, and SO2 emissions around 1,000–5,000 tonnes per day.

Dad’s under-$45 Chick-fil-A hack goes viral
food6 days ago

Dad’s under-$45 Chick-fil-A hack goes viral

A dad of three viral video reveals a money-saving Chick-fil-A strategy: instead of each family member ordering a full sandwich, he buys 30 nuggets for about $17 and serves them on buttered buns for 25 cents each, keeping a five-person meal under $45—an idea that spread across social media as prices rise; the piece also notes Chick-fil-A's recent return to its original waffle fries recipe after pea starch backlash.

Trump-Driven 2027 COLA Could Be Historic, but Risky for Social Security
economy7 days ago

Trump-Driven 2027 COLA Could Be Historic, but Risky for Social Security

Social Security may award a notably large 2027 cost‑of‑living adjustment (COLA), potentially the fourth‑largest since 1991, with estimates ranging from about 3.8% to 4.7% and an average boost around $98 per retiree per month. While beneficial in the short term, a bigger COLA would accelerate depletion of the Old‑Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund, increasing the chance of future across‑the‑board benefit cuts (up to about 22%) if reserves are exhausted. The 75‑year Trustees Report cites a $29.3 trillion unfunded obligation, underscoring that higher current benefits come at the risk of unsustainability without reforms.