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Inflation

All articles tagged with #inflation

KC Fed official: inflation still too hot, policy too loose ahead of Jackson Hole
economy-and-policy25 minutes ago

KC Fed official: inflation still too hot, policy too loose ahead of Jackson Hole

Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid says inflation remains too hot and the Fed’s policy rate is too accommodative, arguing the central bank hasn’t achieved its 2% mandate and that more action could be warranted. He cites energy and broad demand as drivers, notes July’s PCE inflation core at 3.3% (0.2% month over month), and says the question is whether policy is too accommodative or restrictive. Although not a voting member this year, he would have sided with inflation-focused dissents at the July meetings and signals openness to different rate-paths (including a possible 25 or 50 basis-point move) depending on incoming data. He also highlights Fed data and communication initiatives, the balance-sheet review, and potential changes in meeting frequency as part of ongoing reforms, while downplaying tariff impacts and stressing the need for better real-time data beyond the PCE.}{

KC Fed’s Schmid: Inflation Stubborn, Rates Not Yet Restrictive; Talks Fewer FOMC Meetings
economy2 hours ago

KC Fed’s Schmid: Inflation Stubborn, Rates Not Yet Restrictive; Talks Fewer FOMC Meetings

Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid says inflation remains stubborn and sticky, but the current 3.5%-3.75% policy rate doesn’t appear restrictive and he hasn’t committed to a hike; he wants more information on demand drivers and also backs reducing FOMC meetings from eight to six, amid core PCE at 3.3%, 1.5% Q2 growth, and about 4.1% unemployment.

Bond Market Under Strain: Inflation, Fed Shifts, and the Debt Mountain
markets15 hours ago

Bond Market Under Strain: Inflation, Fed Shifts, and the Debt Mountain

Barry Ritholtz argues the bond market is unsettled by a tangle of forces: inflation driven by tariffs, energy prices, and geopolitical tensions; a Federal Reserve whose leadership and policy signals (including data choices and forward guidance) have unsettled markets; ongoing Treasury debt buybacks; and a ballooning national debt that raises borrowing costs. With inflation sticky and rate cuts unlikely, yields stay higher for longer. For investors, the takeaway is to pursue higher-yielding options like munis and TIPs, chosen to fit age, income, tax bracket, and residence.

politics17 hours ago

Trump bets on imported lean beef to cut prices, facing GOP backlash

President Donald Trump signed a 90‑day proclamation to dramatically boost lean beef imports (300,000 metric tons) with the aim of lowering ground beef prices by roughly 25% below current levels; if prices don’t fall, he may end the action. The White House is also weighing related policy tweaks (potential country-of-origin labeling) that would require Congress. The plan has provoked backlash from major cattle groups and several Republican lawmakers who warn it could depress markets and hinder long‑term herd rebuilding, and it does not specify which countries will supply the meat. The first import tranche is set to start Sept. 1 as part of a broader affordability push ahead of the midterms.

Inflation sticks around as Growth Outlook Brightens for Q3
budget-tax-and-economy18 hours ago

Inflation sticks around as Growth Outlook Brightens for Q3

U.S. inflation remained above the Fed’s 2% target in July, with the PCE price index up 3.7% year over year and core PCE at 3.3%, while spending cooled modestly and incomes rose faster than prices. BEA data showed durable goods orders rebound and corporate profits surge, and second-quarter GDP growth was left at 1.5% but with consumption revised up to 3.4% and private sales strengthening to 4.2%, signaling stronger private demand and a possible ~3% pace for Q3. The mixed signals keep the Fed focused on inflation, with markets pricing about a 40% chance of a rate hike in September as tariffs and geopolitical tensions continue to influence price pressures ahead of Jackson Hole.

Inflation sticks around as incomes rise and energy costs creep up
economy1 day ago

Inflation sticks around as incomes rise and energy costs creep up

U.S. inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s target even as real incomes climb about 0.4% last month and gasoline prices rebound toward about $4.10 a gallon, threatening August readings; with inflation stubborn for more than five years, Fed officials warn rates may need to stay higher for longer, helping push longer‑term yields higher even as Treasury buybacks aim to stabilize markets. The broader picture includes energy costs and ongoing trade frictions amid a backdrop of geopolitical tensions.

Core Inflation Holds at 3.3% as July PCE Gains Cruise On
economy1 day ago

Core Inflation Holds at 3.3% as July PCE Gains Cruise On

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, rose 0.2% in July, with core PCE up 0.2% to 3.3% year-over-year (overall PCE at 3.7%). Despite softer goods, spending and incomes rose, while energy prices fell and services costs advanced. Markets trimmed some gains as yields moved higher. With no August FOMC meeting, traders eye a potential year-end rate hike—most likely December—while investors await Jackson Hole remarks from Chairman Kevin Warsh.

Iran’s rial collapses to 2 million per USD as sanctions slam living costs
world1 day ago

Iran’s rial collapses to 2 million per USD as sanctions slam living costs

Under new sanctions, Iran’s rial collapsed past 2 million per USD, triggering sharp price hikes for basics (tomatoes +71%, chicken +74%, cooking oil +177%) and life-saving meds (insulin +642%, paracetamol +93%, baby formula +95%), leaving families struggling to cover everyday needs as wages lag behind inflation; businesses report falling demand and risk of bankruptcy as the cost of living soars.

Nvidia earnings on deck as U.S. stock futures drift near flat before inflation data
markets1 day ago

Nvidia earnings on deck as U.S. stock futures drift near flat before inflation data

U.S. stock futures hovered near flat ahead of the core PCE inflation release and Nvidia’s earnings, with Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures showing muted moves as investors await the data and the AI-chip maker’s results after the bell; economists expect core PCE at 3.3% and attention remains on the Fed’s policy path and Jackson Hole remarks.

Markets hold steady ahead of inflation data as Nvidia earnings loom
markets1 day ago

Markets hold steady ahead of inflation data as Nvidia earnings loom

Stock futures hover near flat ahead of the July PCE inflation print and Nvidia's Q2 results, after a session where the S&P 500 rose about 0.3%, the Nasdaq climbed 0.7%, and the Dow gained 0.3% on softer yields and lower oil. The inflation report is expected to show a 0.1% monthly rise and a 3.6% yearly increase, keeping Fed policy in focus ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s or Warsh’s remarks at Jackson Hole later in the week. Nvidia’s earnings after the bell are closely watched given its weight in the S&P 500, and broader markets remain affected by movements in oil and Treasuries.

politics1 day ago

Trump’s beef plan tests affordability posture as midterms near

Trump proposes temporarily suspending duties on 300,000 metric tons of imported beef to deliver a 25% price cut for consumers, a move he says will lower grocery costs ahead of the midterms, but it drew backlash from farm-state Republicans and ranchers who felt blindsided; analysts warn any price drop may be limited by tight cattle supplies and higher input costs amid the Iran war, with potential long-term consequences for U.S. herd growth.