Kamala Harris Edges Ahead in Final Election Forecasts

In the final update of The Economist's forecast for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Kamala Harris's chances of winning have increased to 56%, though the race remains tight and Donald Trump could still win decisively. Harris has shown stronger performance in recent polls, particularly in the Rust Belt states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. While she trails slightly in Sun Belt states, her numbers have improved compared to earlier polls. A significant poll from Dartmouth College also boosted her forecast, despite potential biases. The model adjusts sharply to new data to account for late movements.